Chandrasekaran Balakrishnan

ஏழாவது நிதி ஆணையமும் சவால்களும்

ஏழாவது நிதி ஆணையமும் சவால்களும் ஏழாவது நிதி ஆணையமும் சவால்களும் Chandrasekaran Balakrishnan November 7, 2025 Articles தமிழகம் 2030ஆம் ஆண்டுக்குள் 1 டிரில்லியன் டாலர் பொருளாதாரம் என்னும் இலக்கை நோக்கி முன்னேறிக்கொண்டிருக்கிறது. இருப்பினும், 2031-32ஆம் ஆண்டுக்குப் பிறகுதான் இது சாத்தியமாகும் என்று ஆய்வுகள் தெரிவிக்கின்றன. ஏனெனில், பயனுள்ள பரவலாக்கப்பட்ட நிர்வாகம் முதல் பல்வேறு முக்கியத் துறைகளின் வளர்ச்சி சார்ந்த சவால்களில் கவனம் செலுத்துவது, பிராந்திய ஏற்றத்தாழ்வுகளை நிவர்த்திசெய்வது வரை பல துறைகளில் புதிய சீர்திருத்தங்கள் தேவைப்படுகின்றன.  

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Tamil Nadu’s bumpy road to $1-trillion economy

Tamil Nadu’s bumpy road to $1-trillion economy Tamil Nadu’s bumpy road to $1-trillion economy by Chandrasekaran Balakrishnan October 31, 2025 Public Policy, State Economies, Tamilnadu Economy Though Centre-state devolution gets public attention, little light is shed on intra-state devolution to rural and urban local bodies. If Tamil Nadu is to reach its goal of being a $1-trillion economy soon, the new State Finance Commission will have to address such issues The Tamil Nadu government accepted 259 out of 280 recommendations made by the sixth State Finance Commission without changing the ratio of devolution amount between rural and urban local bodies (Photo | Express) Updated on: 30 Oct 2025, 2:17 am 4 min read Tamil Nadu aspires to become a $1-trillion economy by 2030. However, it seems feasible only after 2031-32 given the amount of work needed on multiple fronts, ranging from effective decentralised governance and sectoral growth challenges to addressing intra-state regional disparities. While the state’s strength of being a global hub for manufacturing and its significant contribution to the services sector make the headlines, certain challenges remain under-discussed. Almost two years have passed since the release of a plan titled ‘Tamil Nadu Vision $1 trillion’, which aimed to “ensure that all districts and regions of the state emerge as growth centres, while driving prosperity for all sections of the society”. Yet, there has been a little visible change in implementing its key recommendations. In a dynamic federal country like India, state governments often tussle with the Centre seeking more regional autonomy. Ironically, some of the same states fare poorly in decentralisation of administrative power and financial autonomy within, despite a mandate for it under the 73rd and 74th constitutional amendments in 1992. The challenges faced by Tamil Nadu, especially its urban and rural local bodies, including its limited capacity to meet the aspirations of the people for better civic infrastructure facilities and services could be mostly attributed to inadequate institutional mechanisms. One of the biggest institutional and structural lacunae is that despite about 55 percent of people living in urban areas, the devolution of funds continues to be higher for rural local bodies (51 percent) as compared to urban local bodies (49 percent). Against this background, the state government has constituted its 7th State Finance Commission (SFC) under the chairmanship of K Allaudin, a retired IAS officer, to “review the financial position of various urban and rural local bodies and make appropriate recommendations on the distribution of funds to be provided by the state government” for a five-year period from April 1, 2027. This surpasses the target to become a $1-trillion economy by two years. The three-member commission has been asked to submit its report by August 31, 2026. Unlike states like Assam and Kerala, Tamil Nadu has not involved any subject experts on its SFC this time too, as has been the case since its inception in 1997. While the first, sixth and the recently-constituted seventh SFCs have been headed by retired IAS officers, others were headed by serving IAS officers. The key recommendations of the SFCs are mandated to be implemented within a year after the submission of action taken reports. However, there are no such publicly available reports on actual implementation until the next SFC is constituted. The state has accepted many of the past SFC proposals, ranging 80-96 percent of the recommendations. However, for the third SFC, the state government accepted only 240 out of the 308—or about 78 percent—of the recommendations. This gives a clue about how bound the state feels about acting on the proposals. The actions are important for the SFCs’ functions, which include a wider consultative process, examination of various data sets of rural and urban local bodies, and time taken to submit the report So it is instructive to look at the time taken by each SFC to make their final submissions. The state’s first SFC took 19 months, second 15 months, third 22 months, fourth 22 months, fifth 24 months, and the sixth took 24 months to submit the final report to the government. Most often, the reasons for delay are not mentioned. It is also important to note that public discourse has been largely silent on the SFCs’ functions, operations, effectiveness, quality, and implementation. With all this in the backdrop, here are five critical challenges before Tamil Nadu’s seventh SFC Decentralisation of real administrative and financial autonomy from the state capital to district administrations, city corporations, and town and village panchayats is still a distant reality. Though the administrative coverage of urban local bodies has expanded to 25 cities from 16, the availability and quality of basic civic infrastructure and services remain inadequate and substandard. 1.Decentralisation of real administrative and financial autonomy from the state capital to district administrations, city corporations, and town and village panchayats is still a distant reality. 2.Though the administrative coverage of urban local bodies has expanded to 25 cities from 16, the availability and quality of basic civic infrastructure and services remain inadequate and substandard. 3. Increased regional disparities within districts have become a major challenge. The average per capita incomes in the western and northern parts of the state are significantly higher than those in the eastern and southern parts. 4.Another major hurdle is the lack of coordination among key departments, insufficient public consultation, and ineffective programme design in crucial sectors such as sanitation, water supply, electricity, roads, transport, policing, waste management, and wastewater disposal. These gaps create avoidable hardships, especially for the young. 5. Although there is significant scope to enhance revenue streams for local bodies in urban or rural administrations, state-level centralisation continues to constrain their autonomy in decision-making and their ability to address local issues and challenges. While neighbouring states Karnataka and Kerala have made significant progress in addressing challenges related to devolution of administrative power, these aspects have often been given piecemeal attention by Tamil Nadu’s SFCs and no commission has taken a holistic view of the structural challenges faced by the local bodies. The prayer is that this time

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மதுரை லேடி டோக் கல்லூரியில் பொருளாதார ஆய்வு நூல் வெளியீடு – புதிய பார்வையுடன் பொருளாதார அணுகுமுறை

மதுரை லேடி டோக் கல்லூரியில் பொருளாதார ஆய்வு நூல் வெளியீடு – புதிய பார்வையுடன் பொருளாதார அணுகுமுறை மதுரை லேடி டோக் கல்லூரியில் பொருளாதார ஆய்வு நூல் வெளியீடு – புதிய பார்வையுடன் பொருளாதார அணுகுமுறை Chandrasekaran Balakrishnan September 26, 2025 media  

மதுரை லேடி டோக் கல்லூரியில் பொருளாதார ஆய்வு நூல் வெளியீடு – புதிய பார்வையுடன் பொருளாதார அணுகுமுறை Read More »

Two-Day National Workshop on “Primary Data Collection: Usage and Limitations”

Two-Day National Workshop on “Primary Data Collection: Usage and Limitations” Two-Day National Workshop on “Primary Data Collection: Usage and Limitations” Chandrasekaran Balakrishnan September 25, 2025 events 🗓 Dates: 22nd & 23rd September 2025⏰ Time: 10:30 AM onwards📍 Venue: Auditorium, Erode Arts and Science College (Autonomous), Erode – 638009   📝 Event Highlights The PG and Research Department of Economics, Erode Arts and Science College, in association with AgaPuram Policy Research Centre, successfully organized a two-day national workshop on “Primary Data Collection: Usage and Limitations.” Key takeaways from the workshop:🔹 In-depth sessions on concepts, tools, and ethical aspects of primary data collection🔹 Hands-on training through mock surveys, field exposure, and group exercises🔹 Expert talks on sampling techniques, limitations, and challenges in data handling🔹 Valuable guidance from eminent academicians and resource persons from reputed institutions The workshop provided a practical learning experience for students and researchers, equipping them with essential skills for conducting social science and economic research.

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International conference on behavioural economics at Lady Doak College

International conference on behavioural economics at Lady Doak College International conference on behavioural economics at Lady Doak College Chandrasekaran Balakrishnan September 25, 2025 media The Research Centre and Department of Economics of Lady Doak College in collaboration with AgaPuram Policy Research Centre, Erode, organised a two-day international conference on Behavioural Economics titled “Redefining Economic Approach, Emerging Insights Beyond Unbounded Rationality” on Thursday and Friday.   V. Anantha Nageswaran, Chief Economic Advisor to the Government of India, in his virtual address highlighted the importance of behavioural economics as a powerful tool for public policy designs, process of public policy making… Read more    

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International Conference on Behavioural Economics

International Conference on Behavioural Economics International Conference on Behavioural Economics Chandrasekaran Balakrishnan September 4, 2025 events International Conference on Behavioural Economics Organized by:Research Centre and Department of Economics, Lady Doak College, Maduraiin collaboration with Agapuram Policy Research Centre, Erode 📅 Dates: September 11 & 12, 2025📍 Venue: Lady Doak College, Madurai⏰ Time: 9:00 AM onwards Theme:Behavioural Economics – Redefining Economic Approach, Emerging Insights Beyond Unbounded Rationality 👉 Highlights of Day 2 (12 Sept 2025): Session IV: Noise in Financial Markets – Dr. M. Rohit Session V: Behavioural Pathways in Macroeconomic Outcomes – Mr. Nandu Sasidharan Panel Discussion Valedictory Address: Mr. B. Chandrasekaran, Founder Chairman, Agapuram Policy Research Centre Certificate Distribution & Vote of Thanks

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The Euphoria of Tamil Nadu GSDP Growth Rate!!

The Euphoria of Tamil Nadu GSDP Growth Rate!! The Euphoria of Tamil Nadu GSDP Growth Rate!! Chandrasekaran Balakrishnan September 4, 2025 Indian Economy, Public Policy, Tamilnadu Economy The regional economies in India are still largely evolving and have their own pace of sectoral growth trends. The evolution of the state economy is dependent on the pattern of institutional governance, services, and facilities deliveries, which plays a vital role for achieving the national dream of Viksit Bharath@2047. The degree of economic freedom between and within States varies across India, indicating disparity. The Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) is an aggregate of all sectors, broadly consisting of agriculture and allied activities considered as the primary sector; manufacturing, including construction, etc., as the secondary sector; and financial services, transports, hotels, etc., as the services sector. Each sub sector has its own significance for achieving a balanced regional growth as well as intra-regional growth within a State and contributing to the national growth rate. When politicians or policymakers become passionate about achieving a year’s GSDP growth rate as the biggest achievement, leaving the growth trends and other inferences, it becomes detrimental for economic development, which accounts for a sustained and overall improvement in welfare. Further, at the regional level, some of the sub-sectors’ growth trends are undermined while focusing only on the overall GSDP growth rates, which leads to not only misinterpretations but wrong conclusions for short term political gains. It is pertinent to note that Ludwig Von Mises, a prominent figure in the Austrian School of Economic Thought, saw statistics as descriptive rather than explanatory, and he cautioned against interpreting statistical regularities for political milage. He argued that statistics deal with past events and historical facts, lacking the ability to predict future outcomes or reveal causal relationships in the realm of human action. In April, 2025 when the Union Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) had released the state-wise GSDP data, there was a huge celebration among a section with the claim that the one-year growth rate of Tamil Nadu state (9.69% for 2024-25) was an extraordinary achievement. The truth is that one year growth rate data cannot give a true picture for a trend analysis- short run, medium run, and long run. The macroeconomic growth rate discourse in the State missed an important point that Tamil Nadu’s agriculture and allied sector witnessed in negative growth of -0.15% in 2024-25 (provisional). As per the provisional data, the average GSDP Growth rate of Tamil Nadu in the last four years (2021-22 to 2024-25) was 8.48%, which was way below the growth rates of States like Odisha (9.80%) and Maharashtra (8.99), and Karnataka (8.73%). Moreover, more than a dozen States’ provisional GSDP data were not even released for the year 2024-25 in April, 2025. Similarly, the MoSPI released the revised State-wise GSDP data on 1st August, 2025, for the financial year 2024-25. One-year GDP data is important, but it is the trend which is more important. There is another dubious claim of a 14-year break of the Tamil Nadu State GSDP! Let’s look at what the actual average trend data reveals. In the current regime of DMK rule in Tamil Nadu, the average growth rate of State GSDP for last four years (2021-22 to 2024-25) is 8.63% which is lower than states like Assam (9.05%), Bihar (9.59%), Karnataka (8.73%), Maharashtra (8.99%), Meghalaya (9.54%), and Uttara Pradesh (9.15%). It is also interesting to look at the data of the first four years’ average state GSDP growth rate of the previous DMK regime. Tamil Nadu’s economy performed far better than comparatively. The average state GDP growth rate for the first four years was 9.41% (2006-7 to 2009-10). Further, even then, States like Bihar (10.41%), Chhattisgarh (9.76%), Haryana (9.89%), etc. outperformed Tamil Nadu. It is pertinent to note that Tamil Nadu’s share of GDP at all India level over the last 7 decades increased only by 0.2% from 8.7 % in 1960-61 to 8.9% 2023-24. Maharashtra’s economic performance has remained relatively steady throughout the period (from 12.5% to 13.3%). According to recent NCAER Analysis (2025), the state of public finance of Tamil Nadu is worrisome. Debt Sustainability Analysis, a method used to assess whether a state (or country) can meet its debt obligations without resorting to excessive borrowing or facing financial instability, expects an upward and increasing trajectory, during the period from 2022-23 to 2026-27. In recent years, what Tamil Nadu missed is the following key drivers of economic growth and creation of employments opportunities, which is at par with States of Karnataka and Maharashtra. Attracting FDI: Analysis of major states’ attractions of Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) Trends of the last decade (2015-16 to 2024–25) shows Gujarat’s share increased from 6% to 11%, while Tamil Nadu’s share declined from 11% to 7%. Tamil Nadu is still lacking what Karnataka and Maharashtra have nurtured for decades, including improved infrastructure policy stability and mature industrial ecosystems across the departments and across the region/districts within the State. The latest FDI data analysis for 2024-25 reveals that among the top ten states, Maharashtra accounts for 39%, followed by Karnataka (13%) and Delhi (12%). Tamil Nadu ranks 5th with FDI inflow of Rs. 31,103 crores. Under-utilised Coastal economy: The strategic geo-economic coastal advantage of Tamil Nadu has not yet been harnessed. Mobility: In the area of mobility as a key driver of the economy, Tamil Nadu has done some concrete efforts in terms of policy for the attraction of new investments for the production of Electric Vehicles, but it has been lacking consistently over the years in terms of adoption of EVs in public transportations across the state. Sub-par urban civic amenities: Urban Population in Tamil Nadu has consistently exceeded the national estimates, and the gap between the two has widened, particularly over the past three decades. Now, Tamil Nadu has 54% of its urban population, but basic urban civic facilities are very poor across the state, without decentralisation Diversification: Tamil Nadu predominantly concentrates on some services sectors, agriculture, forestry, and

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Public Policy Research – Knowledge Sharing Session

Public Policy Research – Knowledge Sharing Session Public Policy Research – Knowledge Sharing Session Saravanan M August 14, 2025 events Erode Arts and Science College – Department of Social Work (UA), in association with AgaPuram Policy Research Centre, is organizing a session on “Organization Learning about AgaPuram Policy Research Centre, Erode, and Public Policy Research” on 14th August 2025 at 10:30 AM in Venue I – MSW. Resource Person: Mr. B. Chandrasekaran, Senior Economist & Founder Chairman, AgaPuram Policy Research Centre, Erode.

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